Spreading Misery Equally – Obamacare

This is an excellent article that Dan Cuprill has written that deals with the healthcare debate and the free market. I have cut and pasted it below or you can go to his site and see it by clicking on the name.

 The Common Good

Dan Cuprill

A friend of mine who also appreciates the value of free market capitalism, recently admitted to being stumped in a debate with an acquaintance. He was asked, “How is the common good served by a profit motive that encourages that denial of services that customers have already paid for through their premiums. Aren’t profits greater to the company that denies the most claims?”

Let’s begin with the first question:

The purpose of a business is not to serve the common good, but rather to make a profit. Fortunately, it is in making the profit that the common good is served. If a business cannot make a profit, it ceases to exist. Ipads, laptops, and cars exist only because it is profitable to make and sell them.

In insurance, profit does is not made through the denial of claims, but rather the adequate pricing of premiums. Payable claims are stated in the contract. They cannot be denied unless excluded. It is a matter of law. The civil courts and appeal boards exist to enforce those laws.

The assumption that somehow a non-profit, single payer plan will rid us of claim exclusions is completely false. People come to the US from Canada all the time because they cannot get adequate care. Government plans tend to deny claims in a more subtle, but equally injurious fashion: rationing. Sure, your gall bladder surgery is covered. You can get that surgery in one year.

The reality we must accept is that some people are simply uninsurable. Unless they are willing to pay premiums equal to their claims, no one is willing to take the risk that insuring them is worth while.

If we have no private insurers, then we’ll get what the government will provide us. For most people, the quality of insurance and healthcare overall will decline drastically, as evidenced by what is available in Europe and Canada. The so-called common good is what is best for most people, not everyone. If everyone receives the same poor quality insurance, is the common good truly served?

Capitalism is not perfect. It’s just better than any other system.
For the uninsurable, a compassionate society rises to meet their needs via charity. The United States is by far the most charitable nation in the world.
 
As for the second question, the answer is obviously “no.” A carrier that routinely declines claims will eventually receive no customers, and hence, no profit. And an insurer that over charges will eventually lose its customers to one willing to provide coverage for less. Only a single payor system could survive such a scheme.

Being able to pay your medical bills for less than full value is not a right. It’s a privilege afforded to most, but not all. Or as my daddy use to say, “Son, life ain’t fair. Stop wishing that it was.”

Financial Investing

Financial Investing

I teach my financial investing clients to manage costs in their portfolio – it’s my second Rule of Financial Gravity.  Usually that effort focuses on avoiding financial products that have steep fees, but sometimes the conversation drifts to the role of the client’s mortgage in their financial picture.  Are there costs associated with a mortgage?  Of course there are, you’re thinking.  There’s an interest rate tied to the payments on the house.  But have you really analyzed the impact of that payment on your finances?

A client recently in my office wanted to cut costs in her financial investing portfolio, but never looked at her mortgage as a place to do it.  She had a 30-year fixed mortgage at 5 ¼ percent.  Her monthly payment was $1400 – four hundred in principal, and a thousand dollars in interest.  My first question to her was, “so where’s the 5 ¼ percent?”  If you look at one thousand in interest she was paying in her fourteen-hundred dollar payment, that’s not five percent she was paying, it was seventy percent!  That’s a great place to try to cut costs.  Look at your mortgage amortization schedule, and you’ll see that the only payment you will ever make where the interest is actually at the rate you agreed to will be payment number 360.  That’s the scary side of compound interest.  Mortgage payments are front-loaded with interest in the first several years to make the payments come out the same amount every month.  That’s why mortgage companies celebrate when someone pays off 10 years of a mortgage and then refinances – those 10 years of payments were mostly interest!  So the question we need to ask is this:  is it financially wise to pay off my mortgage early?

Too many people think this way: “I’m making 9% in the market, and I’m only paying 5% on my house – so if I put financial investing money in the market instead of paying off my mortgage, I’m gaining 4% I would have lost”.  These people are fooling themselves.  Let’s see why, and we’ll learn about a principle I call Cash Flow Equivalent Return.

Financial Investing can get complicated, so let’s simplify our math.  Let’s imagine a mortgage with $100,000 in principal, and a $1000 monthly payment.  If I won $100,000 in the lottery, and paid off the house, I’d save $1000 each month.  The big question is this – if I put that $100,000 in the market instead of paying off the mortgage, what kind of rate of return would I need in order to get that same $1000 per month benefit in my cash flow?  Said another way, what’s the Cash Flow Equivalent Return that I need to break even?  I’d need to make $12,000 a year from my $100,000, a 12% return.  That’s my Cash Flow Equivalent Return, relative to paying off my mortgage early with that same money.

Whoa!  I’d need to make a 12% return in the market to match the benefit of putting that same financial investing money toward my mortgage?  Yep – and that’s just the net return.  Don’t forget that taxes and insurance get added to a mortgage payment, and don’t forget the money I’d have to make in the market would be subject to capital gains taxes.  Put that together, and I’d need to be pulling a 14-18 percent return from the market to match the cost savings of just paying off my mortgage with the money.  

Do you have some cash to put in financial investing?  If you put it in the market, you’ll need to have some spectacular luck to compare with the benefit of just paying off your own mortgage.  Did your financial advisor tell you that?  No?  How does he get paid?  Is it by helping your financial picture, or by selling you his favorite financial product?  Think about it.

Retirement Planning – Saving for Retirement – Capitalism

Saving for Retirement

While you’ve been saving for retirement, the idea of capitalism has been getting a lot of bad press.  Whether you look at the news media, or at public opinion, it’s trendy today to trash capitalism.  The 2008 market meltdown has been blamed on capitalism (although I blame it on foolish government intervention in the market).  Michael Moore even has a recent movie, Capitalism: A True Love Story, in which he labels capitalism as “an evil.”  Doesn’t sound like true love to me.

Wandering off my usual saving for retirement topic a bit, does anybody other than me find it weird that Michael Moore invested capital to create a movie trashing capitalism, while hiring other capitalists in order to make it, and he’s going to make millions of dollars in profit – capitalistically?  But I digress.

I’ve just read a recent article by Steve Forbes, carrying the same title as Michael Moore’s (a guy who no longer needs to be saving for retirement) forgettable film.  Forbes makes a strong case that capitalism is not broken, and it’s not corrupt.  He reminds his readers that capitalism “is the world’s greatest success story. No other system has improved the lives of so many people.”

Saving for retirement and carefully managing your investment portfolio is clearly a good thing.  Unfettered, dishonest, or greedy capitalism can clearly be a bad thing – I don’t think anybody doubts that.  But it’s much more common that thoughtless government invention in markets becomes a bad thing.  I’d say that government interference in the operation of open markets causes a problem 99% of the time or more.  But government certainly has an important role to play.  Here’s Steve Forbes again:

“There will, of course, be criminals and greedy individuals in a free-market economy, just as there are in all walks of life and at all times. That is where government is critical to the free market–to enforce contracts, protect property rights and maintain order, as it does in the rest of society.”

Capitalism, practiced ethically, always benefits those who participate in it, whether you are saving for retirement or buiding the next Fortune 500 company – capitalism just doesn’t work otherwise.  I want to leave you with one more quote from Mr. Forbes.

“What’s getting lost in the crisis and the political turmoil is that capitalism is based on trust. Transactions in free markets are about achieving the greatest possible advantage, but that advantage must be mutual. To cite Adam Smith‘s classic example, the baker or the butcher sells you food in exchange for your money. True, as Smith points out, this relationship is based on self-interest: They provide your dinner because they seek your money. However, for a transaction to occur, each party must benefit.”

Take a moment to read Steve Forbes’ article.  Be proud of the true story of capitalism.

Retirement Planning – Diversify Asset Allocation for Retirement Planning

Asset Allocation Retirement

One of the most difficult things to do in asset allocation retirement diversification is to avoid the temptation to pick individual stocks.  It’s fun to pick individual stocks and hope they go through the roof.  Look at Jim Cramer’s Mad Money TV show.  It’s exciting to watching Jim shout out which stocks are going up or down.  But guess what – Jim doesn’t know the future either.  Nobody does. 

Here’s an example.  Without looking it up on Google, tell me whether Wal-Mart or K-Mart has had the best stock growth over the last 10 years.  I bet you said Wal-Mart, right?  Nope – it was K-Mart!  K-Mart dropped like a rock, but then it came roaring back.  If you bought at the bottom, you would have gotten 4 or 5 times your investment back.  And then K-Mart bought Sears!  Who would have ever seen that one coming?  Again – nobody knows the future.

Too often, investors are looking for needles in an asset allocation retirement haystack.  They want to find and buy the few high performers amid a vast number of companies that are simply plodding along, generating market-average gains.  But nobody knows with certainty which companies those are going to be, and you can give yourselves chest pains trying to guess.  Here’s a better idea.  Stop trying to find the needle in the haystack, and take a shortcut.  Buy the haystack!  If the needles are in the haystack somewhere, and they’re going to make themselves known eventually, why bother looking for them when you can just buy the whole thing! 

Asset allocation retirement planning is smarter than trying to outsmart the market.  Just this past year, emerging markets have grown over 50% in under 6 months.  And they grew 40-45% of that in just three months!  How cool would it have been to put your whole portfolio in emerging markets in late March and sold out in late June!  Bam – 45% increase on the whole portfolio!  Wow.  But what if emerging markets instead had been slow those four months while something else took off – maybe something we had sold to bet the farm on emerging markets?  You see the problem that comes from trying to find the needle, when you could have had the whole haystack.  It’s easy to recognize that one company might be a needle in the China economy haystack; it’s harder to consider that China is just one needle in the emerging markets haystack.  And professionals recognize that emerging markets is just one needle in a haystack of market segments that you should balance in your portfolio.

What happens when your portfolio has a portion in emerging markets, plus portions in other asset allocation retirement segments with characteristics that match your risk tolerance and your growth and income goals?  When you fill your portfolio with haystacks, you get the needles in them for free!

Certified Financial Planner – Benjamin Franklin

Most people agree that education is important, but those same people would also agree “packaged” education or “education” as a product is only good if it helps the person paying for it. But, does it help the person that did not pay for it? The Certified Financial Planner is the best marketed designation in the financial services market. There are over 100 designations in this market all have varying degrees of benefit to the consumer (the financial advisor) of the products.  But, I am not convinced they have a huge impact on the end consumer (you or the person receiving the educated persons advice). I have discussed this before in several video episodes.

I have found that some of the best and brightest minds in different industries tend to be outside the box (education box or package) thinkers. The other problem is that Timeless Wisdom (which I talk about in my book) came before the designations and the CFP (certified financial planning) initials were created.

I read a lot of financial blogs in an effort to learn (this is the good kind of education) and I have recently run into a guy that I have been reading for a few months and I think he is good. His name is Todd Tresidder, I do not know him and I have not met him, but his advice and his columns have been consistently good.   

This leads me full circle back to Certified Financial Planner and Benjamin Franklin. Neither myself, Ben or Todd carry an official designation, but we all seem to agree on applying Timeless Wisdom to our lives, today. Todd posted an excellent article by Benjamin Franklin here. It was written in 1757 and it shows that the statement written thousands of years ago “there is nothing new under the sun” is accurate. So take the time to read this Timeless Wisdom and when you need help with the Strategic Application, give me a call.

“The Way To Wealth” By Benjamin Franklin

Financial Planning and Investing

Financial Planning and Investment

I’ve gotten some feedback from the financial planning and investment video blogging I do that has really surprised me.  Much of it is good, and I’m thankful for that.  Some people have recommendations to improve, and I’m glad for those too.  But sometimes I get a call from a confused client who heard about something in a video, checked their portfolio, and asks me, “If this product/strategy/idea is so great, why did you put me in… X?”

What’s the X?  It’s whatever they found in their financial planning and investment portfolio that doesn’t seem to match up with my recommendations in some video or other.  There’s a couple ways I want to deal with this question because it’s an important one. 

First, I don’t put people in anything, when I assist people with financial planning and investment.  I build plans, and the plan will incorporate a large number of products that serve the plan in a variety of ways.  I don’t just put people in things because I like that particular investment – it has to be part of the plan. 

The second important idea is that the financial planning and investment ideas I share are sometimes very broad-based, and sometimes they are very specific.  Some ideas apply to a large number of my customers – maybe as much as 90%.  But those ideas, great as they are, are going to be the wrong move for the other 10% out there.  Other plans contain elements that are exactly the right move for 10% of my customers, but poison for the portfolios of the other 90%.

This is why it’s so important to have a financial planning and investment strategist and coach helping you invest, and not just a product salesperson.  Which products are going to be best for you?  Which tax laws best support your investment strategies?  We can’t know until we learn what your portfolio is like, and what your financial goals are, and whether your current investments are moving you down the right road. 

I love creating my video blog entries, because it helps with so many areas of my financial planning and investment business.  People watching my videos can pretty quickly determine whether they will be able to work with my personality.  They can figure out quickly if my philosophy suits their investing mindset.  If either of those two aspects of my business is a deal-breaker for people, we both save a lot of time if they learn that without needing to come to my office or attend the events I host. 

If you like my financial planning and investment philosophy, and you can cope with my personality, probably I can help you with your portfolio.  But don’t assume that everything I mention in my videos necessarily applies to you.  Take the information, digest it, and be aware that all that information informs the overall plan with which we built your portfolio.  Feel free to call me out if you think I picked a product for your portfolio that violates one of the principles I mention in my videos.  More than likely, there’s a specific reason that product is in the portfolio, and it’s a necessary part of achieving the plan.  So why did I put you in X?  It’s part of the plan.

Financial Planning – Business Models

Financial Advising

Financial advising businesses, like any others, try to be profitable, and that profit has to come from somewhere.  When you look for financial advice, you should be aware that there are really only four basic profitable business models this kind of business can choose from.    I like to visualize them geometrically, with a customer base at the top of a shape, and a set of financial products at the bottom.

The first financial advising business model shape is a vertical rectangle.  Picture a tall, thin rectangle and you’ve got the basic idea.  In this model, I’ve got a very narrow customer base that my company is targeting, and a narrow range of products that I want to sell to them.  A common example might be companies that only sells 403(b)s to teachers.  That’s a very tightly focused business model – and it works for some companies, though this type of business tends to be somewhat rare.  What’s the attraction?  Such a company can market themselves as unmatched experts in 403(b) plans for teachers.  It’s a good business if there are enough people in your target market.

The next financial advising shape I want you to picture is that same rectangle, but now it’s lying on its side.  It’s very wide, but not very deep.  Maybe you see where I’m headed with this.  This business model describes an operation that runs a one-stop-shop.  This company sells every product for every possible customer need.  You want retirement planning?  They’ve got it.  Property and casualty?  Got it.  401(k)?  Check.  Long-term care policy?  Step in to my office.

What’s wrong with this financial advising business model?  I’ll tell you.  It’s very hard to be all things to all people in the financial services industry.  There are so many areas to focus on, and there is constant change in many of those areas.  You might be a mile wide, and catch a wide base of customers, but be only an inch deep in your knowledge of the products you sell.  My firm, for example, no longer offers long-term care.  Now, a lot of my customers would benefit if we offered that product!  But we’ve decided for our business that keeping up with all the changes is more than we’re willing to handle if we want to offer quality advice in the areas we do specialize in.  Ditto for Medicare supplements, by the way.  Being a “general practitioner” can work (to use a medical analogy), but you have to expect that nobody will ever come to you for heart surgery.

The third financial advising model, and probably the single most popular business model in the industry today, is shaped like a triangle pointed down.  Remember, customers are at the top, products at the bottom.  These companies have one product to sell.  They might not let their customers know this when they walk in the door, but these businesses have a one size fits all approach.  When you ask an advisor at this company for advice, his leading questions will always steer you toward the product they sell.

Here’s a typical example: one of the most popular products sold in the financial advising marketplace today is the variable annuity.  If you are in the office of a “financial advisor” who has balanced his triangle on top of variable annuities, you’ll find that all your problems will be solved by a variable annuity.  “I’m trying to minimize risk”, you say.  “Variable annuities are the perfect product for that”, says the advisor, “because of the underlying insurance policy”.  You point out, “But I’m also looking for market returns.” “Perfect application of variable annuities – there’s market-based returns right in the account”, says the advisor.  It doesn’t matter to him what your goals are, he’s going to find a way to make sure variable annuities will solve your problem.  The same thing happens with groups that sell only mutual funds, or that sell any other single product.

So what’s my financial advising business model?  Take that triangle and turn it right-side up.  Now you’ve got the point at the top – focused like a laser on customers with a particular set of goals in mind.  My firm, for example, has staked its claim on the tax and retirement market.  We’re focused on customers with that one specific set of concerns.  The base of my triangle – remember that’s where the products are – is wide.  I shop from a wide range of different financial products, looking for the right combinations that will support my customers’ goal of having enough money to retire upon.  I can mix and match products in the way that best helps my customers, because I don’t have to sell any one particular product.

What’s your advisor’s financial advising business model?  If you can answer that question, you’ll know if you are really getting advised… or just getting sold.

Voting as an Investment Strategy – 2

Democrats have largely become the party of progressive socialists. There was a time, not so long ago, they understood economics and governed exactly the opposite of the way they do today.  Don’t believe me? Check this video out from one of the most revered Democrats of all time! This is why it is important to vote for ideas a politician espouses not the letter behind the name. A special thanks to Dan Cuprill of TheAngryCapitalist.com for digging this up.  

Retirement Income Planning

Retirement Income Planning

Has this happened to you?  You’re traveling in your car when suddenly your eye is drawn to a warning light on your dashboard.  Maybe it’s letting you know that you are out of oil, or that your engine is overheating.  What do you do?  Do you immediately pull into a service station?  Do you just ignore it, hoping it goes away?  Or worst of all, do you pull into your garage, and hide the indicator with a thick piece of electrical tape?

So many people go for the 3rd option when managing their doing retirement income planning.  Maybe ignorance is bliss, but let’s not kid ourselves into thinking that it’s the solution to any problem.  Ignoring a low oil light is a great way to seize your car’s engine.  Ignoring structural problems in your portfolio is a great way to take on needless risk that hurts your long-term gains, and jeopardizes your retirement plans. 

Part of my job as a financial manager is to draw my clients’ attention to problems in their retirement income planning.  I try to be the warning light on my customers’ financial dashboard.  I don’t want to be a downer – it’s not my goal to make people feel bad, I’m just trying to help people help themselves financially.

Retirement income planning is important, and it’s time-sensitive, so don’t ignore the warning lights!  Is a little voice in the back of your head reminding you that your portfolio hasn’t been rebalanced in three years?  You should treat it the same way as the realization that you haven’t had your tires rotated.  Is your portfolio protected against inflation risk?  You should exercise the same discipline you use when you notice your brakes aren’t working as effectively as they used to.

Covering up retirement income planning problems doesn’t solve them.  Doing something about the shortcomings in your portfolio will make you feel more confident in your financial future.  Your financial advisor can help you change the way your portfolio is serving you, and plug the holes that are letting thousands upon thousands of dollars slip through your fingers.  Even a few small changes can steer you away from financial trouble, and give you years of trouble-free travel down the road to your financial goals.

Saving Money for Retirement

Saving Money For Retirement

I spend a lot of time with my clients focusing on reducing costs associated with saving money for retirement.  And one of the primary sources of costs in the investing world is trading.  Buying or selling any investment always incurs a trading cost, and it puts a drag on your ability to make your porfolio grow.  Here’s an analogy.

Let’s say you take a break from saving money for retirement to sell your house.  If you sold your house today, and your buyer agrees to buy your house for $100,000, can you take the money you get from the sale and immediately buy another house for $100,000?  No, you certainly can’t, because the sales agent who managed your sale took 6 or 7 percent, depending on your local real estate market.  So you don’t have $100,000 when the time comes to buy the next house.  The same thing happens when you buy and sell any investment.  The financial world even has a term to describe this phenomenon – they call it the Bid-Ask Spread.

Saving money for retirement can be perilous if you don’t watch out for these kinds of hidden costs!  Consider that every time a share of stock is bought and sold, the price that buyers want to pay buy it for (the Bid), and the price the sellers are willing to sell it for (the Ask), actually differ.  That gap is the Bid-Ask Spread.  When you sell a share of stock, you’ll rarely generate enough money to be able to buy back that same share.  You’ve seen pictures of the traders on the New York Stock Exchange trading floor, right?  Guess what – those people don’t work for free.  There’s a commission on each trade that gets made, and guess who’s paying the commission?  That’s right – you.

Now some people, when saving money for retirement, buy mutual funds, reasoning that they save trading costs by not buying into or out of stocks themselves.  But be careful!  Mutual funds have average annual turnover of 90%, according to a recent Wall Street Journal article.  In other words, if you look at what equities are in your mutual fund this year, ninety percent of it won’t be in there a year from now – you’ll be in a whole different set of equities.  Maybe you see where I’m headed.  The trades that liquidated 90% of your portfolio, and the trades that bought you into the mutual fund’s current holdings, were all vulnerable to the dreaded Bid-Ask Spread.  So you might think you’re dodging costs by buying mutual funds, but you aren’t.  The more trading that happens in your account, the more costs your account will incur, and the harder it will be for your portfolio to grow.

Think about this – what industry did very well, even during the 2008 economic downturn, generating big bonuses for its top employees while you were scrimping and saving money for retirement?  Yep – the financial services industry.  Why?  Because each time an investor panicked and sold their holdings, their broker got a piece of the sale.  And each time somebody bought into some investment that they thought would weather the storm better, their broker got a piece of the sale.  A bad market for investors is a great market for people who collect money from trades.

Most investors quickly realize the profit-eating danger of over-trading their own accounts, and the dangers that can pose when you are saving money for retirement.  Don’t let a trade-happy mutual fund or advisor do the same thing to your portfolio.